BTTS +6pp vs league averageOver 2.5 level with the league average
Form
Aston Villa
LLDLW
Brentford
WDDDW
What the numbers say
Model's expected goals, rounded to the nearest whole goal: 2–1 (1.57 – 1.37 exactly — not necessarily the single most likely scoreline).
Home side's attack rating compared with the away side's defence.
Away side's attack rating compared with the home side's defence.
AI match preview
A short analytical preview explaining which side's underlying rating advantage is driving this prediction, and whether the league table tells the same story.
Players to watch
PRO
ASTON VILLA
TTop scorer
12 goals · 4 assists
BRENTFORD
TTop scorer
9 goals · 6 assists
Team ratings
Dixon-Coles attack/defence ratings, log-scale — higher attack and lower defence are both stronger. Bar length is just a display anchor, not a 0-100 score.