BTTS -20pp vs league averageOver 2.5 -11pp vs league average
Form
Arsenal
WWLWW
Hull
DDLDL
What the numbers say
Model's expected goals, rounded to the nearest whole goal: 1–1 (1.46 – 0.57 exactly — not necessarily the single most likely scoreline).
Home side's attack rating compared with the away side's defence.
Away side's attack rating compared with the home side's defence.
AI match preview
A short analytical preview explaining which side's underlying rating advantage is driving this prediction, and whether the league table tells the same story.
Players to watch
PRO
ARSENAL
TTop scorer
12 goals · 4 assists
HULL
TTop scorer
9 goals · 6 assists
Team ratings
Dixon-Coles attack/defence ratings, log-scale — higher attack and lower defence are both stronger. Bar length is just a display anchor, not a 0-100 score.
Arsenal winDraw
Hull win